Last Push to Mozhaisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (6 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1100 | 29% | 2012-02-29 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1025 | 49% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 866 | 1020 | 29% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2011-02-03 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1147 | 36% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1165 | 42% | 2004-01-08 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1000.5 vs 1116.7 has a 33.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).