Last Push to Mozhaisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (6 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1100 | 29% | 2012-02-29 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1024 | 49% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
| 866 | 1018 | 29% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1242 | 22% | 2011-02-03 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1149 | 32% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1165 | 43% | 2004-01-08 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 997.2 vs 1116.3 has a 33.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).