Hill 490
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1009 | 70% | 2021-01-06 | Won |
| 1042 | 1204 | 28% | 2002-12-01 | Lost |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 1997-02-04 | Won |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1000.8 vs 1120.3 has a 33.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).