Smashing the Fourth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 3
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 2
Defender wins (Romanian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 968 | 73% | 2007-10-06 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1202 | 43% | 1999-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 900 | 76% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1131.7 vs 1023.3 has a 65.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).