Lion's Share
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (12 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (British / French): 25
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2020-02-08 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1012 | 57% | 2014-11-08 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2003-02-20 | | Won |
| 1195 | 1050 | 70% | 2002-12-11 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2001-07-12 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1343 | 13% | 2000-08-01 | | Won |
| 1138 | 970 | 72% | 1999-03-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 1998-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-03-07 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1998-01-17 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1094.3 vs 1040.2 has a 57.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).