Monstir Gap
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 6
Defender wins (Greek / Australian): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1191 | 1098 | 63% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1017 | 73% | 2023-03-15 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1011 | 52% | 2021-02-08 | Won |
| 1151 | 940 | 77% | 2021-01-03 | Lost |
| 903 | 972 | 40% | 2020-12-19 | Won |
| 1154 | 972 | 74% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
| 1084 | 998 | 62% | 2020-12-08 | Lost |
| 1254 | 973 | 83% | 2020-12-06 | Won |
| 1057 | 1035 | 53% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1044 | 65% | 2002-11-03 | Lost |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2002-09-03 | Won |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 1999-04-27 | Won |
| 1117 | 1109 | 51% | 1999-03-28 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1121 vs 968.8 has a 70.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).