Fruit and Nuts
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (10 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 22
Defender wins (Australian): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1099 | 918 | 74% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
1125 | 1089 | 55% | 2008-03-08 | Lost |
1151 | 1193 | 44% | 2007-08-04 | Lost |
1151 | 712 | 93% | 2007-02-19 | Won |
1037 | 1189 | 29% | 2005-03-03 | Won |
1048 | 914 | 68% | 2004-12-21 | Lost |
914 | 1048 | 32% | 2004-12-20 | Won |
1151 | 1097 | 58% | 2003-09-12 | Won |
1154 | 1048 | 65% | 2002-09-28 | Won |
982 | 985 | 50% | 2002-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1081.2 vs 1019.3 has a 58.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).