Motoring to Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (9 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2025-05-12 | Won |
| 944 | 1313 | 11% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1091 | 65% | 2023-01-01 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1059 | 53% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 970 | 1151 | 26% | 2019-01-24 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1132 | 58% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1030 | 66% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1029 | 79% | 2008-01-16 | Won |
| 1082 | 1133 | 43% | 2004-09-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1104.2 vs 1116.3 has a 48.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).