Motoring to Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (9 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 1145 | 50% | 2025-05-12 | | Won |
| 941 | 1219 | 17% | 2023-05-07 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2023-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2021-07-09 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1133 | 28% | 2019-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1097 | 65% | 2008-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2008-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1269 | 1035 | 79% | 2008-01-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2004-09-16 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1089.9 vs 1081.6 has a 51.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).