Motoring to Mogilev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (9 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1124 | 42% | 2025-05-12 | Won |
| 944 | 1333 | 10% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1090 | 57% | 2023-01-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1028 | 52% | 2021-07-09 | Lost |
| 971 | 1153 | 26% | 2019-01-24 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1135 | 57% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1030 | 67% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
| 1293 | 1035 | 82% | 2008-01-16 | Won |
| 1082 | 1139 | 42% | 2004-09-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1096.7 vs 1118.6 has a 46.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).