Hornet's Nest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1044 | 764 | 83% | 2023-05-16 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1091 | 65% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1219 | 28% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 970 | 1127 | 29% | 2019-01-14 | Lost |
| 983 | 1177 | 25% | 2010-09-21 | Won |
| 1119 | 1164 | 44% | 2010-06-03 | Lost |
| 712 | 1152 | 7% | 2004-05-22 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1057 | 49% | 2003-04-11 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1050 | 52% | 2001-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1022.4 vs 1089 has a 40.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).