Hornet's Nest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 788 | 70% | 2023-05-16 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1046 | 72% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1219 | 28% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
| 967 | 1157 | 25% | 2019-01-14 | Lost |
| 975 | 1176 | 24% | 2010-09-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1167 | 39% | 2010-06-03 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1039 vs 1092.2 has a 42.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).