Barbarossa D-Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 849 | 1074 | 21% | 2024-03-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1044 | 50% | 2023-08-15 | Lost |
| 1033 | 977 | 58% | 2022-04-01 | Won |
| 978 | 1018 | 44% | 2021-11-20 | Won |
| 1078 | 981 | 64% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 967 | 1140 | 27% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 982 | 1149 | 28% | 2020-10-08 | Won |
| 994 | 923 | 60% | 2020-10-07 | Won |
| 1106 | 1045 | 59% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1148 | 1011 | 69% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1091 | 1011 | 61% | 2020-01-03 | Won |
| 1098 | 1016 | 62% | 2019-11-21 | Won |
| 1191 | 999 | 75% | 2019-11-15 | Won |
| 985 | 1003 | 47% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1047 | 1075 | 46% | 2017-06-04 | Lost |
| 838 | 954 | 34% | 2016-04-30 | Won |
| 1015 | 1001 | 52% | 2016-03-10 | Won |
| 1400 | 992 | 91% | 2015-03-11 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-10-19 | Won |
| 1310 | 976 | 87% | 2014-06-13 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1008 | 58% | 2013-03-05 | Lost |
| 952 | 986 | 45% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-06-18 | Won |
| 1033 | 1130 | 36% | 2012-04-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1074 | 41% | 2009-09-16 | Won |
| 1150 | 1060 | 63% | 2009-08-20 | Won |
| 1028 | 1151 | 33% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
| 1244 | 1011 | 79% | 2008-10-25 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1069 | 45% | 2008-10-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2006-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1067.8 vs 1042.8 has a 53.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).