Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (28 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 64
Defender wins (Polish): 67
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 896 | 54% | 2025-05-09 | Won |
| 848 | 937 | 37% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2023-09-26 | Won |
| 933 | 1095 | 28% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 904 | 1132 | 21% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 904 | 1132 | 21% | 2022-12-13 | Lost |
| 1029 | 768 | 82% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1120 | 976 | 70% | 2020-05-03 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1048 | 47% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1120 | 58% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 1046 | 890 | 71% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1066 | 877 | 75% | 2013-02-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1066 | 43% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1080 | 47% | 2012-05-17 | Won |
| 1100 | 1085 | 52% | 2012-02-26 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1175 | 47% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1167 | 1148 | 53% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1178 | 69% | 2010-08-07 | Tied |
| 856 | 1105 | 19% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 1059 | 41% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1136 | 43% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2007-11-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 973 | 52% | 2005-12-03 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1105 | 56% | 2005-11-05 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1053 | 69% | 2005-10-20 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1148 | 34% | 2005-10-03 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
| 1079 | 1164 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 1056.3 has a 49.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).