Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (30 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 65
Defender wins (Polish): 68
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2025-05-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-03-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-09-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-12-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-01-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-05-03 | | Lost |
| 986 | 914 | 60% | 2019-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-01-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2017-04-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-02-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1179 | 1000 | 74% | 2012-05-17 | | Won |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2012-01-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1113 | 34% | 2011-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2010-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2010-08-07 | | Tied |
| 845 | 1047 | 24% | 2010-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1179 | 26% | 2009-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1114 | 1030 | 62% | 2007-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2007-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 1046 | 46% | 2006-08-04 | | Won |
| 914 | 1000 | 38% | 2005-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2005-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1005 | 1023 | 47% | 2005-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1050 | 1113 | 41% | 2005-10-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | | | Won |
| 1167 | 1050 | 66% | | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1016.6 vs 1024.7 has a 48.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).