Maczek Fire Brigade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 125 (23 on the archive and 102 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 60
Defender wins (Polish): 64
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 919 | 953 | 45% | 2024-03-20 | Won |
| 1046 | 1044 | 50% | 2023-09-26 | Won |
| 933 | 1159 | 21% | 2023-06-25 | Lost |
| 910 | 1191 | 17% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 910 | 1191 | 17% | 2022-12-13 | Lost |
| 1031 | 717 | 86% | 2021-01-20 | Won |
| 1053 | 994 | 58% | 2019-08-30 | Lost |
| 1033 | 889 | 70% | 2017-04-18 | Won |
| 1067 | 968 | 64% | 2013-02-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1067 | 42% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1084 | 48% | 2012-05-17 | Won |
| 1100 | 1084 | 52% | 2012-02-26 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1125 | 51% | 2012-01-03 | Won |
| 1310 | 1178 | 68% | 2010-08-07 | Tied |
| 856 | 1106 | 19% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 999 | 1069 | 40% | 2009-01-01 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1134 | 41% | 2007-12-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1096 | 50% | 2007-11-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 973 | 52% | 2005-12-03 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1106 | 45% | 2005-11-05 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1047 | 64% | 2005-10-20 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Won |
| 1164 | 1141 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1047.4 vs 1064.3 has a 47.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).