To Have and To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (13 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 36
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1016 | 81% | 2021-07-09 | Won |
| 1092 | 1132 | 44% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 896 | 974 | 39% | 2019-07-19 | Won |
| 1001 | 1057 | 42% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2015-11-07 | Won |
| 1301 | 1062 | 80% | 2014-09-14 | Won |
| 1066 | 940 | 67% | 2014-08-30 | Won |
| 1057 | 1031 | 54% | 2013-12-21 | Won |
| 1011 | 1061 | 43% | 2012-07-08 | Won |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2008-02-04 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1032 | 71% | 2006-06-20 | Won |
| 963 | 1189 | 21% | 2005-10-20 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1042.8 vs 1050.3 has a 48.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).