Gut Check
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Canadian): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 917 | 1059 | 31% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 827 | 998 | 27% | 2011-07-14 | Won |
| 694 | 1099 | 9% | 2009-10-17 | Won |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1148 | 34% | 2005-10-06 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 902.8 vs 1065.7 has a 28.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).