Gut Check
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Canadian): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 918 | 1012 | 37% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 827 | 993 | 28% | 2011-07-14 | Won |
| 697 | 1088 | 10% | 2009-10-17 | Won |
| 866 | 1010 | 30% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 882.6 vs 1053.8 has a 27.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).