The Trap at Targul Frumos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (13 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 30
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 1163 | 35% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1327 | 1216 | 65% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 924 | 911 | 52% | 2019-06-20 | Won |
| 1342 | 1161 | 74% | 2019-06-20 | Won |
| 1023 | 981 | 56% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 977 | 1046 | 40% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
| 1211 | 969 | 80% | 2016-05-07 | Won |
| 1128 | 1140 | 48% | 2010-10-03 | Lost |
| 990 | 1140 | 30% | 2007-10-07 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1122 | 51% | 2004-01-26 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1110 | 42% | 1994-11-05 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
| 833 | 1091 | 18% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1083.6 vs 1087.8 has a 49.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).