The Trap at Targul Frumos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (12 on the archive and 57 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1202 | 1147 | 58% | 2020-07-20 | Won |
| 1208 | 1252 | 44% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 998 | 910 | 62% | 2019-06-20 | Won |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 938 | 1075 | 31% | 2017-06-12 | Lost |
| 1313 | 968 | 88% | 2016-05-07 | Won |
| 1101 | 1148 | 43% | 2010-10-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1148 | 32% | 2007-10-07 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1129 | 47% | 2004-01-26 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1110 | 63% | 1994-11-05 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
| 846 | 1079 | 21% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1084.3 vs 1087.3 has a 49.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).