Morire in Belleza
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 159 (34 on the archive and 125 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 76
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 83
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1126 | 54% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1094 | 38% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 717 | 1074 | 11% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 954 | 924 | 54% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1014 | 1310 | 15% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1310 | 15% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 978 | 955 | 53% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1116 | 870 | 80% | 2016-11-19 | Won |
| 931 | 1084 | 29% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1058 | 931 | 68% | 2015-12-08 | Won |
| 982 | 1070 | 38% | 2015-11-18 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1068 | 80% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1191 | 999 | 75% | 2015-03-05 | Won |
| 970 | 1084 | 34% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1062 | 53% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1130 | 1116 | 52% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 984 | 981 | 50% | 2014-02-15 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2008-03-07 | Won |
| 998 | 984 | 52% | 2008-02-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 1048 | 45% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1006 | 1030 | 47% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
| 1310 | 917 | 91% | 2006-09-10 | Won |
| 1400 | 1075 | 87% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1023 | 84% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1310 | 16% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1400 | 37% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1400 | 1310 | 63% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1310 | 901 | 91% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
| 931 | 982 | 43% | 2005-09-17 | Won |
| 935 | 862 | 60% | 2005-04-24 | Won |
| 985 | 1126 | 31% | 2003-06-21 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1065 | 47% | 1999-12-03 | Won |
| 1012 | 1069 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1080.4 vs 1067.9 has a 51.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).