Morire in Belleza
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 164 (38 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 79
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 85
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 966 | 1084 | 34% | 2025-01-13 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1208 | 44% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1101 | 37% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 780 | 976 | 24% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 965 | 925 | 56% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1031 | 1219 | 25% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1219 | 25% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 988 | 955 | 55% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1090 | 826 | 82% | 2016-11-19 | Won |
| 929 | 1154 | 21% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1077 | 929 | 70% | 2015-12-08 | Won |
| 1146 | 1041 | 65% | 2015-11-18 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1120 | 64% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1143 | 1087 | 58% | 2015-03-05 | Won |
| 971 | 1084 | 34% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1061 | 53% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1126 | 1121 | 51% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 983 | 982 | 50% | 2014-02-15 | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
| 1185 | 1141 | 56% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1082 | 1167 | 38% | 2008-03-07 | Won |
| 1156 | 959 | 76% | 2008-02-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 1048 | 45% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1031 | 1035 | 49% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
| 1435 | 1064 | 89% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 862 | 89% | 2006-09-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 941 | 77% | 2006-09-10 | Won |
| 1151 | 1156 | 49% | 2006-08-24 | Won |
| 1435 | 1219 | 78% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1435 | 22% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1219 | 28% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1056 | 72% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1219 | 902 | 86% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
| 907 | 1002 | 37% | 2005-09-17 | Won |
| 935 | 862 | 60% | 2005-04-24 | Won |
| 1010 | 1076 | 41% | 2003-06-21 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1066 | 47% | 1999-12-03 | Won |
| 1012 | 1094 | 38% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1088.3 vs 1061.4 has a 53.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).