Morire in Belleza
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 162 (36 on the archive and 126 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 77
Defender wins (Yugoslavian): 85
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 1075 | 31% | 2025-01-13 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1148 | 53% | 2023-07-28 | Lost |
| 927 | 1096 | 27% | 2023-06-24 | Won |
| 768 | 971 | 24% | 2023-05-25 | Lost |
| 998 | 926 | 60% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 1015 | 1313 | 15% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1313 | 15% | 2021-02-19 | Lost |
| 978 | 955 | 53% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1193 | 842 | 88% | 2016-11-19 | Won |
| 927 | 1091 | 28% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1026 | 927 | 64% | 2015-12-08 | Won |
| 1060 | 1070 | 49% | 2015-11-18 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1074 | 80% | 2015-05-09 | Won |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2015-03-05 | Won |
| 971 | 1075 | 35% | 2014-12-06 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1062 | 52% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1153 | 1113 | 56% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 983 | 982 | 50% | 2014-02-15 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1060 | 54% | 2009-12-21 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1148 | 54% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1082 | 1089 | 49% | 2008-03-07 | Won |
| 1004 | 969 | 55% | 2008-02-09 | Won |
| 1015 | 1048 | 45% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1037 | 1029 | 51% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
| 1413 | 1100 | 86% | 2006-09-10 | Lost |
| 1313 | 917 | 91% | 2006-09-10 | Won |
| 1413 | 1313 | 64% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1413 | 36% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1313 | 18% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1053 | 82% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
| 1313 | 901 | 91% | 2006-02-07 | Won |
| 928 | 982 | 42% | 2005-09-17 | Won |
| 935 | 862 | 60% | 2005-04-24 | Won |
| 985 | 1202 | 22% | 2003-06-21 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1065 | 60% | 1999-12-03 | Won |
| 1012 | 1059 | 43% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1088.1 vs 1071.1 has a 52.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).