Under Siege
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 991 | 994 | 50% | 2024-11-22 | | Won |
| 979 | 996 | 48% | 2024-06-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2017-08-27 | | Lost |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2017-02-26 | | Won |
| 883 | 1136 | 19% | 2011-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 977 | 71% | 2011-09-12 | | Lost |
| 1163 | 1136 | 54% | 2011-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1155 | 1141 | 52% | 2006-11-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2006-10-14 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2005-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2001-07-01 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2000-05-26 | | Won |
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2000-04-30 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1997-11-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1013 vs 1063.7 has a 42.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).