Down Radio Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1024 | 57% | 2017-08-27 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1087 | 30% | 2014-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1012 | 58% | 2009-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1329 | 1167 | 72% | 2009-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2009-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1034 | 1149 | 34% | 2008-11-07 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2008-05-09 | | Won |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 2008-05-05 | | Won |
| 1053 | 1141 | 38% | 2005-10-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1083.5 vs 1041.5 has a 56.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).