Lousy Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
939 | 960 | 47% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
1181 | 842 | 88% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
1181 | 1022 | 71% | 2023-10-16 | Won |
952 | 1154 | 24% | 2020-05-21 | Lost |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
1100 | 1048 | 57% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
866 | 1010 | 30% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
1044 | 937 | 65% | 2009-12-31 | Won |
1018 | 1064 | 43% | 2009-11-03 | Lost |
961 | 1031 | 40% | 2008-03-09 | Lost |
934 | 1023 | 37% | 2008-03-09 | Won |
1181 | 979 | 76% | 2007-06-01 | Won |
1008 | 1412 | 9% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
1031 | 937 | 63% | 2006-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1043.3 vs 1037.3 has a 50.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).