Lousy Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1206 | 1031 | 73% | 2025-08-01 | Won |
| 919 | 879 | 56% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1226 | 824 | 91% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1038 | 75% | 2023-10-16 | Won |
| 953 | 1110 | 29% | 2020-05-21 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2020-02-19 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1027 | 65% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1015 | 62% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2010-01-01 | Lost |
| 1044 | 917 | 68% | 2009-12-31 | Won |
| 1020 | 1123 | 36% | 2009-11-03 | Lost |
| 961 | 1084 | 33% | 2008-03-09 | Lost |
| 1031 | 983 | 57% | 2008-03-09 | Won |
| 1226 | 853 | 90% | 2007-06-01 | Won |
| 992 | 1419 | 8% | 2006-11-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 917 | 72% | 2006-09-21 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1072.6 vs 1025.2 has a 56.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).