A Test of Nerves
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7 (3 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 5
Defender wins (Australian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 2026-08-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2008-02-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2008-02-03 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1000 vs 1160.7 has a 28.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).