The Lighthouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (6 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 39
Defender wins (Japanese): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2005-04-23 | | Won |
| 1149 | 832 | 86% | 2002-12-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2000-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 1998-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 1996-01-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1026.2 vs 1005 has a 53.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).