The Lighthouse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (5 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 39
Defender wins (Japanese): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1252 | 986 | 82% | 2005-04-23 | Won |
| 1202 | 846 | 89% | 2002-12-21 | Won |
| 1065 | 1133 | 40% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1109 | 45% | 1996-01-10 | Won |
| 1137 | 1057 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1146.2 vs 1026.2 has a 66.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).