ASL Scenario Archive

A Ridge Too Far

Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (37 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (British): 37

Defender wins (German): 32

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1047	954	63%	2026-06-21	Won
1019	1008	52%	2025-07-12	Won
992	1015	47%	2025-04-29	Won
1000	996	51%	2025-03-13	Won
952	1156	24%	2024-11-25	Lost
986	1000	48%	2024-09-22	Lost
1000	1288	16%	2023-11-27	Lost
1192	1000	75%	2022-04-10	Lost
1037	996	56%	2021-11-09	Lost
1000	963	55%	2021-06-21	Won
1000	1431	8%	2020-12-22	Lost
1000	982	53%	2020-10-16	Won
1038	1000	55%	2020-10-03	Won
1028	1000	54%	2020-09-11	Won
1000	1028	46%	2020-08-02	Won
1012	1006	51%	2020-06-28	Won
1431	945	94%	2020-04-07	Won
1227	1000	79%	2019-07-15	Lost
989	1000	48%	2019-03-01	Won
1082	1000	62%	2018-05-19	Lost
973	1000	46%	2017-07-16	Lost
1000	1142	31%	2017-06-17	Lost
1000	889	65%	2016-09-01	Tied
846	981	31%	2015-11-21	Lost
846	981	31%	2015-11-21	Lost
850	1000	30%	2015-06-22	Won
1029	1000	54%	2014-04-10	Lost
1220	1000	78%	2014-03-29	Won
1000	981	53%	2014-03-26	Won
1016	1000	52%	2011-10-28	Won
1000	1039	44%	2011-01-24	Won
1020	1029	49%	2010-07-12	Won
1013	1215	24%	2010-06-27	Lost
906	1000	37%	2008-09-26	Won
1000	1108	35%	2006-09-23	Lost
1108	1000	65%	2006-09-16	Won
832	1000	28%	2006-09-04	Lost

Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1018.7 vs 1030.6 has a 48.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).