A Ridge Too Far
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (British): 16
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1016 | 53% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1245 | 46% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1016 | 66% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1023 | 990 | 55% | 2021-11-09 | Lost |
| 1016 | 962 | 58% | 2021-06-21 | Won |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 1016 | 983 | 55% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1037 | 998 | 56% | 2020-10-03 | Won |
| 1048 | 1024 | 53% | 2020-09-11 | Won |
| 1046 | 1048 | 50% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1008 | 1006 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 1431 | 945 | 94% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1192 | 1016 | 73% | 2019-07-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
| 1046 | 934 | 66% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 972 | 1016 | 44% | 2017-07-16 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1108 | 37% | 2017-06-17 | Lost |
| 1016 | 881 | 69% | 2016-09-01 | Tied |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-11-21 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-11-21 | Lost |
| 847 | 929 | 38% | 2015-06-22 | Won |
| 1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-03-26 | Won |
| 938 | 1016 | 39% | 2011-10-28 | Won |
| 1172 | 1039 | 68% | 2011-01-24 | Won |
| 992 | 1012 | 47% | 2010-07-12 | Won |
| 1012 | 1215 | 24% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 929 | 977 | 43% | 2008-09-26 | Won |
| 984 | 1094 | 35% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 1094 | 984 | 65% | 2006-09-16 | Won |
| 832 | 860 | 46% | 2006-09-04 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1044 vs 1030.1 has a 52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).