Legio Patria Nostra
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 139 (59 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 92
Defender wins (German): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Free French): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1034 | 974 | 59% | 2025-01-21 | Won |
| 1046 | 996 | 57% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 993 | 996 | 50% | 2024-09-20 | Won |
| 988 | 1336 | 12% | 2024-07-20 | Lost |
| 988 | 1336 | 12% | 2024-07-20 | Lost |
| 996 | 910 | 62% | 2024-04-03 | Won |
| 1036 | 1005 | 54% | 2024-01-20 | Won |
| 1274 | 996 | 83% | 2023-10-23 | Won |
| 877 | 852 | 54% | 2023-06-26 | Lost |
| 1037 | 852 | 74% | 2023-06-26 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-05-08 | Won |
| 1056 | 1144 | 38% | 2023-01-21 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1059 | 44% | 2022-09-27 | Won |
| 1181 | 996 | 74% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1049 | 982 | 60% | 2022-02-28 | Won |
| 1055 | 974 | 61% | 2021-12-14 | Won |
| 1137 | 1126 | 52% | 2021-09-08 | Won |
| 969 | 1080 | 35% | 2021-05-26 | Lost |
| 1129 | 971 | 71% | 2020-12-29 | Won |
| 978 | 992 | 48% | 2020-12-24 | Won |
| 1018 | 971 | 57% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1018 | 1006 | 52% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1006 | 69% | 2020-12-08 | Lost |
| 873 | 969 | 37% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1224 | 1017 | 77% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 939 | 903 | 55% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
| 1018 | 1257 | 20% | 2020-09-18 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1172 | 29% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 885 | 873 | 52% | 2020-09-11 | Lost |
| 1017 | 868 | 70% | 2020-08-12 | Won |
| 992 | 1163 | 27% | 2020-04-19 | Lost |
| 913 | 864 | 57% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1038 | 1173 | 31% | 2019-10-26 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
| 1113 | 996 | 66% | 2017-06-25 | Won |
| 960 | 903 | 58% | 2017-03-14 | Lost |
| 877 | 729 | 70% | 2017-03-12 | Won |
| 877 | 899 | 47% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 1063 | 926 | 69% | 2015-10-18 | Won |
| 972 | 1085 | 34% | 2014-09-28 | Won |
| 1209 | 1209 | 50% | 2014-03-22 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-03-19 | Won |
| 1004 | 996 | 51% | 2012-10-30 | Lost |
| 1031 | 986 | 56% | 2012-10-13 | Won |
| 972 | 1040 | 40% | 2011-07-01 | Lost |
| 954 | 984 | 46% | 2011-06-23 | Won |
| 1004 | 996 | 51% | 2011-03-23 | Won |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2010-10-20 | Won |
| 1012 | 992 | 53% | 2010-06-28 | Won |
| 1228 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-12-15 | Won |
| 913 | 1216 | 15% | 2009-03-18 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2009-02-20 | Won |
| 919 | 969 | 43% | 2008-01-25 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1012 | 49% | 2007-11-18 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1111 | 46% | 2006-12-04 | Won |
| 984 | 1094 | 35% | 2006-10-07 | Won |
| 860 | 832 | 54% | 2006-08-07 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-02-12 | Won |
Attacking (41 wins) average ELOs: 1018.7 vs 1018.1 has a 50.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).