Priority Target
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 168 (75 on the archive and 93 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 88
Defender wins (Allied): 78
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Allied): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 996 | 1011 | 48% | 2024-11-25 | Won |
| 1077 | 1094 | 48% | 2024-11-16 | Won |
| 992 | 1015 | 47% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2024-09-07 | Lost |
| 991 | 1004 | 48% | 2024-09-01 | Won |
| 1252 | 909 | 88% | 2023-10-21 | Won |
| 1218 | 1274 | 42% | 2023-08-28 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-05-01 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1183 | 44% | 2023-03-26 | Won |
| 954 | 1431 | 6% | 2022-07-28 | Lost |
| 1004 | 944 | 59% | 2022-06-14 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1016 | 51% | 2022-04-29 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1085 | 46% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
| 1049 | 1431 | 10% | 2022-01-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 985 | 54% | 2022-01-01 | Won |
| 926 | 926 | 50% | 2021-11-03 | Won |
| 892 | 834 | 58% | 2021-08-31 | Lost |
| 892 | 1144 | 19% | 2021-08-16 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1218 | 27% | 2021-08-07 | Lost |
| 984 | 1055 | 40% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2021-04-24 | Won |
| 926 | 996 | 40% | 2021-04-15 | Lost |
| 975 | 1036 | 41% | 2020-11-10 | Won |
| 939 | 896 | 56% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1163 | 996 | 72% | 2020-07-29 | Won |
| 1209 | 961 | 81% | 2020-06-05 | Won |
| 997 | 989 | 51% | 2020-03-31 | Lost |
| 996 | 1040 | 44% | 2020-03-25 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2020-01-15 | Won |
| 864 | 935 | 40% | 2019-12-18 | Won |
| 1175 | 1173 | 50% | 2019-10-18 | Won |
| 1173 | 953 | 78% | 2019-07-22 | Lost |
| 975 | 1049 | 40% | 2019-03-03 | Won |
| 1082 | 1152 | 40% | 2019-01-25 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1152 | 31% | 2019-01-25 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2019-01-25 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1152 | 40% | 2018-11-11 | Won |
| 1055 | 911 | 70% | 2017-11-07 | Won |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2017-06-26 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1001 | 50% | 2017-02-05 | Won |
| 896 | 960 | 41% | 2016-12-22 | Won |
| 877 | 1004 | 32% | 2016-08-06 | Tied |
| 1063 | 926 | 69% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
| 995 | 983 | 52% | 2016-01-06 | Won |
| 1202 | 1149 | 58% | 2015-12-26 | Won |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2015-08-11 | Won |
| 1095 | 972 | 67% | 2014-10-15 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1125 | 39% | 2014-06-12 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-02-05 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1211 | 50% | 2014-01-04 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1040 | 45% | 2012-10-24 | Lost |
| 1040 | 947 | 63% | 2012-10-23 | Won |
| 890 | 1010 | 33% | 2012-06-01 | Won |
| 1056 | 1047 | 51% | 2011-12-18 | Lost |
| 1098 | 943 | 71% | 2011-02-27 | Won |
| 1040 | 1004 | 55% | 2010-11-12 | Lost |
| 984 | 1002 | 47% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1093 | 41% | 2010-08-07 | Lost |
| 1012 | 991 | 53% | 2010-03-08 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2009-11-25 | Won |
| 1045 | 962 | 62% | 2009-08-12 | Won |
| 920 | 1052 | 32% | 2009-06-17 | Won |
| 1117 | 1086 | 54% | 2008-03-02 | Won |
| 913 | 1017 | 35% | 2008-01-19 | Won |
| 1017 | 913 | 65% | 2007-12-15 | Won |
| 965 | 1004 | 44% | 2007-04-14 | Lost |
| 1001 | 959 | 56% | 2007-03-03 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1015 | 48% | 2007-02-17 | Won |
| 1282 | 1004 | 83% | 2006-10-25 | Lost |
| 941 | 1089 | 30% | 2006-08-04 | Lost |
| 984 | 1093 | 35% | 2006-06-10 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1004 | 51% | 2006-04-11 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-03-30 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (39 wins) average ELOs: 1042 vs 1044.6 has a 49.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).