A Little Bit Closer to Heaven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Free French ): 4
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 964 | 63% | 2023-07-24 | Won |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2019-04-07 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-12-17 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1151 | 54% | 2002-07-03 | Lost |
| 614 | 1100 | 6% | 2001-09-23 | Lost |
| 1062 | 914 | 70% | 2001-06-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1015.7 vs 1031.6 has a 47.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).