The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 181 (29 on the archive and 153 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 101
Defender wins (American ): 79
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American ): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1016 | 40% | 2026-10-19 | | Won |
| 912 | 863 | 57% | 2023-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2019-08-17 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-01-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1155 | 29% | 2017-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2016-10-05 | | Won |
| 1105 | 983 | 67% | 2016-10-05 | | Won |
| 1051 | 909 | 69% | 2016-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1079 | 959 | 67% | 2015-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1051 | 45% | 2014-10-18 | D | Won |
| 1022 | 875 | 70% | 2013-06-17 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1101 | 38% | 2013-03-16 | | Won |
| 1155 | 1000 | 71% | 2013-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2008-12-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2008-02-12 | | Won |
| 1335 | 1000 | 87% | 2006-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1265 | 1000 | 82% | 2006-08-31 | | Tied |
| 1107 | 1010 | 64% | 2006-06-22 | | Won |
| 1054 | 1101 | 43% | 2005-04-30 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2005-04-17 | | Won |
| 1265 | 1076 | 75% | 2005-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1338 | 1023 | 86% | 2002-04-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1020 | 47% | 2001-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2001-01-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 1999-06-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1155 | 29% | 1998-11-22 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 1998-01-05 | | Won |
| 1110 | 1000 | 65% | 1996-07-30 | | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1080.5 vs 1014.6 has a 59.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).