The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American ): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American ): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 873 | 57% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
| 1075 | 908 | 72% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1055 | 1165 | 35% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 996 | 1132 | 31% | 2017-04-07 | Lost |
| 1219 | 980 | 80% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1015 | 982 | 55% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1219 | 869 | 88% | 2016-08-29 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1001 | 56% | 2015-11-06 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1219 | 25% | 2014-10-18 | Won |
| 1002 | 898 | 65% | 2013-06-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1098 | 39% | 2013-03-16 | Won |
| 1132 | 996 | 69% | 2013-02-18 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1111 | 38% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1029 | 63% | 2008-02-12 | Won |
| 1412 | 883 | 95% | 2006-09-08 | Lost |
| 1336 | 1051 | 84% | 2006-08-31 | Tied |
| 1033 | 1098 | 41% | 2005-04-30 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2005-04-17 | Won |
| 1336 | 977 | 89% | 2005-04-10 | Lost |
| 911 | 934 | 47% | 2001-10-28 | Lost |
| 932 | 1116 | 26% | 1999-06-05 | Won |
| 1001 | 1014 | 48% | 1998-01-05 | Won |
| 1152 | 1092 | 59% | 1996-07-30 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1090.4 vs 1025.4 has a 59.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).