Aachen's Pall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1061 | 1081 | 47% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 951 | 1213 | 18% | 2019-06-11 | Lost |
| 1213 | 951 | 82% | 2019-06-11 | Won |
| 995 | 960 | 55% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1309 | 17% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1266 | 44% | 2016-07-28 | Won |
| 953 | 1002 | 43% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 1093 | 1039 | 58% | 2016-05-31 | Won |
| 991 | 1053 | 41% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
| 939 | 964 | 46% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 855 | 847 | 51% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1143 | 1017 | 67% | 2014-08-03 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1037 | 72% | 2009-05-02 | Lost |
| 1018 | 984 | 55% | 2003-08-31 | Won |
| 1000 | 1110 | 35% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
| 1222 | 847 | 90% | 2002-12-08 | Won |
| 1153 | 978 | 73% | 2002-09-15 | Won |
| 1092 | 1080 | 52% | 2002-08-31 | Won |
| 1098 | 947 | 70% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
| 1008 | 964 | 56% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 964 | 1031 | 40% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 1222 | 1118 | 65% | 1995-05-21 | Won |
| 1061 | 940 | 67% | 1993-10-29 | Won |
| 1029 | 872 | 71% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1056.7 vs 1023.2 has a 54.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).