Aachen's Pall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (American): 20
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1075 | 1079 | 49% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1193 | 950 | 80% | 2019-06-11 | Won |
| 950 | 1193 | 20% | 2019-06-11 | Lost |
| 986 | 960 | 54% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1313 | 16% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1264 | 48% | 2016-07-28 | Won |
| 953 | 1001 | 43% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 1093 | 1039 | 58% | 2016-05-31 | Won |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
| 939 | 975 | 45% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 855 | 846 | 51% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1170 | 1018 | 71% | 2014-08-03 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1041 | 72% | 2009-05-02 | Lost |
| 1082 | 948 | 68% | 2003-08-31 | Won |
| 999 | 1107 | 35% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
| 1202 | 846 | 89% | 2002-12-08 | Won |
| 1105 | 979 | 67% | 2002-09-15 | Won |
| 1092 | 1133 | 44% | 2002-08-31 | Won |
| 1148 | 1012 | 69% | 2000-06-18 | Won |
| 1100 | 947 | 71% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
| 927 | 1031 | 35% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 1001 | 927 | 60% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 1202 | 1118 | 62% | 1995-05-21 | Won |
| 1075 | 942 | 68% | 1993-10-29 | Won |
| 1057 | 872 | 74% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1062.1 vs 1020 has a 56.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).