Vaagso Venture
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (7 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 16
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 1051 | 49% | 2025-11-08 | Lost |
| 948 | 973 | 46% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
| 940 | 1051 | 35% | 2020-05-24 | Lost |
| 948 | 1217 | 18% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 878 | 973 | 37% | 2013-06-22 | Won |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2011-08-13 | Won |
| 1117 | 1003 | 66% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 972.1 vs 1039.6 has a 40.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).