Vaagso Venture
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (6 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 16
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
955 | 999 | 44% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
976 | 1084 | 35% | 2020-05-24 | Lost |
963 | 1214 | 19% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
879 | 998 | 34% | 2013-06-22 | Won |
931 | 1010 | 39% | 2011-08-13 | Won |
1102 | 1069 | 55% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 967.7 vs 1062.3 has a 36.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).