Vaagso Venture
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (8 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 16
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-11-08 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-05-07 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1008 | 46% | 2020-05-24 | | Lost |
| 919 | 1218 | 15% | 2020-05-07 | | Lost |
| 876 | 1093 | 22% | 2013-06-22 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2012-06-21 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2011-08-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1001.3 vs 1049.5 has a 43.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).