GOYA
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (9 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2024-01-31 | Won |
| 972 | 1014 | 44% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 878 | 1052 | 27% | 2019-06-03 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1002 | 56% | 2017-08-09 | Won |
| 989 | 972 | 52% | 2015-01-01 | Lost |
| 694 | 1118 | 8% | 2012-09-22 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1087 | 52% | 2006-08-23 | Won |
| 906 | 1200 | 16% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 1064 | 1092 | 46% | 2001-11-18 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 977.2 vs 1076.6 has a 36.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).