GOYA
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2024-01-31 | Won |
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 879 | 994 | 34% | 2019-06-03 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2017-08-09 | Won |
| 989 | 999 | 49% | 2015-01-01 | Lost |
| 697 | 1023 | 13% | 2012-09-22 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1088 | 52% | 2006-08-23 | Won |
| 907 | 1126 | 22% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 1047 | 1092 | 44% | 2001-11-18 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 973.4 vs 1048.3 has a 39.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).