Hakkaa Paalle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (13 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1037 | 53% | 2026-02-14 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2026-01-19 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2025-12-24 | | Won |
| 1098 | 1030 | 60% | 2022-04-22 | | Won |
| 943 | 1015 | 40% | 2021-12-12 | | Lost |
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2020-02-14 | | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2019-01-11 | | Won |
| 966 | 1103 | 31% | 2018-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1017 | 51% | 2017-03-02 | | Lost |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2014-10-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2004-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 1999-01-25 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 1994-04-23 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1018.2 vs 1031.4 has a 48.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).