Hakkaa Paalle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (Finnish): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 1032 | 49% | 2026-02-14 | Won |
| 1012 | 939 | 60% | 2026-01-19 | Won |
| 999 | 999 | 50% | 2025-12-24 | Won |
| 1065 | 1030 | 55% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 904 | 1015 | 35% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 948 | 991 | 44% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
| 977 | 1054 | 39% | 2019-01-11 | Won |
| 882 | 1103 | 22% | 2018-07-19 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2014-10-17 | Won |
| 1019 | 1058 | 44% | 2004-04-24 | Lost |
| 1184 | 1045 | 69% | 1999-01-25 | Won |
| 1045 | 1101 | 42% | 1994-04-23 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1005.2 vs 1027.5 has a 46.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).