Alligator Creek
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1045 | 58% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2020-10-01 | Won |
| 1037 | 939 | 64% | 2017-08-20 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2012-11-18 | Won |
| 978 | 1018 | 44% | 2004-02-14 | Lost |
| 1126 | 965 | 72% | 2000-11-20 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1061.3 vs 1022.1 has a 55.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).