Auld Lang Syne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1003 | 979 | 53% | 2025-01-08 | Won |
| 954 | 988 | 45% | 2024-12-31 | Won |
| 1114 | 1136 | 47% | 2024-09-28 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1114 | 53% | 2024-07-21 | Won |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
| 1065 | 967 | 64% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2023-12-12 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1163 | 58% | 2022-05-30 | Lost |
| 938 | 938 | 50% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
| 938 | 938 | 50% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 910 | 950 | 44% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 950 | 1070 | 33% | 2019-06-13 | Lost |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2015-07-15 | Won |
| 959 | 1005 | 43% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
| 1108 | 972 | 69% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2014-02-12 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1101 | 67% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
| 1047 | 963 | 62% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
| 1047 | 963 | 62% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
| 966 | 1052 | 38% | 2010-10-02 | Won |
| 1062 | 1048 | 52% | 2010-01-26 | Won |
| 1120 | 1058 | 59% | 2004-11-29 | Lost |
| 984 | 1003 | 47% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1040.2 vs 1020.8 has a 52.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).