Chance D'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (9 on the archive and 88 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 39
Defender wins (German): 58
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1117 | 50% | 2026-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 980 | 59% | 2022-02-04 | | Won |
| 1102 | 909 | 75% | 2020-08-24 | | Lost |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2019-12-08 | | Won |
| 966 | 1043 | 39% | 2016-10-08 | | Lost |
| 890 | 1103 | 23% | 2008-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2000-05-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 1999-04-23 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1100 | 34% | 1996-06-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1020.6 vs 1005.6 has a 52.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).