The Whirlwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 114 (19 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (American): 48
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2026-04-25 | | Won |
| 1055 | 969 | 62% | 2024-03-09 | D | Won |
| 1125 | 780 | 88% | 2022-04-23 | | Won |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2021-10-06 | | Won |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2021-10-06 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2021-09-29 | | Lost |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2021-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2018-04-28 | | Won |
| 865 | 1000 | 31% | 2018-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1024 | 1014 | 51% | 2017-03-16 | | Lost |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2015-09-02 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2015-04-26 | | Won |
| 870 | 1093 | 22% | 2012-04-03 | | Won |
| 1080 | 953 | 68% | 2009-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2004-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 968 | 68% | 2002-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 1999-06-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1021.5 vs 1001.7 has a 52.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).