The Whirlwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (American): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 969 | 52% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 1193 | 780 | 92% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 961 | 1002 | 44% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 961 | 1002 | 44% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 1002 | 961 | 56% | 2021-09-29 | Lost |
| 1002 | 961 | 56% | 2021-09-29 | Lost |
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2018-03-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 850 | 1189 | 12% | 2015-09-02 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1169 | 58% | 2015-04-26 | Won |
| 870 | 1094 | 22% | 2012-04-03 | Won |
| 1059 | 953 | 65% | 2009-07-25 | Lost |
| 1019 | 969 | 57% | 2002-01-01 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1023 | 62% | 1999-06-09 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1019.2 vs 999.2 has a 52.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).