Hill 621
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 279 (41 on the archive and 238 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 147
Defender wins (German): 130
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2024-02-15 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 991 | 1126 | 31% | 2023-10-03 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1075 | 46% | 2023-05-18 | Won |
| 1250 | 996 | 81% | 2022-06-24 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1223 | 1007 | 78% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 1214 | 1334 | 33% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
| 994 | 1071 | 39% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 994 | 1108 | 34% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2019-12-02 | Lost |
| 938 | 999 | 41% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1250 | 1083 | 72% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 923 | 1045 | 33% | 2019-03-21 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
| 812 | 1089 | 17% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
| 954 | 898 | 58% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
| 888 | 935 | 43% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2017-08-05 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2015-09-14 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1250 | 32% | 2014-06-23 | Won |
| 1100 | 1045 | 58% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-04-24 | Won |
| 982 | 977 | 51% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1097 | 52% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1310 | 15% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1005 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1005 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2009-03-30 | Lost |
| 1023 | 697 | 87% | 2009-03-28 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 1400 | 1310 | 63% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 983 | 1037 | 42% | 2005-12-15 | Lost |
| 978 | 1150 | 27% | 2005-06-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 1098 | 38% | 2005-05-06 | Lost |
| 931 | 875 | 58% | 2004-05-13 | Lost |
| 1074 | 912 | 72% | 1999-06-15 | Tied |
| 1126 | 1137 | 48% | 1995-06-11 | Won |
| 983 | 940 | 56% | 1992-08-30 | Tied |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1051.9 vs 1050 has a 50.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).