Hill 621
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 309 (59 on the archive and 250 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 164
Defender wins (German): 143
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-08-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-05-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-03-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2026-03-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-08-20 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2025-03-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 910 | 63% | 2024-02-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1020 | 47% | 2023-10-03 | | Lost |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-05-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-06-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-04-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-06-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-04-10 | | Lost |
| 930 | 1000 | 40% | 2020-01-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-12-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-07-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-06-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-03-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-03-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 980 | 53% | 2019-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-01-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-08-06 | | Won |
| 1036 | 955 | 61% | 2017-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-06-23 | | Won |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2013-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2013-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-04-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2010-05-01 | | Lost |
| 928 | 1000 | 40% | 2010-01-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-11-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-06-01 | | Lost |
| 928 | 1000 | 40% | 2009-04-04 | | Won |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2009-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-03-28 | | Won |
| 910 | 1000 | 37% | 2008-10-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2006-09-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2005-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2005-06-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2005-06-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2005-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2004-05-13 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 928 | 63% | 2001-10-19 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2001-07-24 | | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2001-06-16 | | Lost |
| 910 | 1000 | 37% | 1999-06-15 | | Tied |
| 991 | 843 | 70% | 1998-12-18 | | Won |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 1995-06-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 1992-08-30 | | Tied |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 996.4 vs 997 has a 49.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).