Hill 621
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 307 (58 on the archive and 249 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 162
Defender wins (German): 143
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1182 | 736 | 93% | 2026-05-25 | Won |
| 944 | 1051 | 35% | 2026-05-19 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1008 | 58% | 2026-03-21 | Won |
| 1070 | 1052 | 53% | 2026-03-14 | Won |
| 1044 | 1004 | 56% | 2025-10-28 | Lost |
| 951 | 951 | 50% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 890 | 1034 | 30% | 2025-08-20 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1182 | 56% | 2025-03-17 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2024-02-15 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1070 | 1022 | 57% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
| 1014 | 1065 | 43% | 2023-10-03 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2023-05-18 | Won |
| 1182 | 1004 | 74% | 2022-06-24 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2020-06-02 | Won |
| 1216 | 931 | 84% | 2020-04-10 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1018 | 52% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2019-12-02 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1191 | 25% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1182 | 1044 | 69% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 951 | 1006 | 42% | 2019-03-21 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2019-03-17 | Lost |
| 698 | 1088 | 10% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
| 965 | 1102 | 31% | 2019-01-12 | Lost |
| 893 | 930 | 45% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2017-08-05 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1032 | 47% | 2016-01-17 | Lost |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2015-09-14 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1182 | 37% | 2014-06-23 | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-04-24 | Won |
| 1146 | 982 | 72% | 2013-02-04 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1097 | 44% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
| 1060 | 970 | 63% | 2010-01-03 | Won |
| 1019 | 1219 | 24% | 2009-11-12 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-06-01 | Lost |
| 1060 | 970 | 63% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2009-03-30 | Lost |
| 1070 | 695 | 90% | 2009-03-28 | Won |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2008-10-25 | Won |
| 1435 | 1219 | 78% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 983 | 1036 | 42% | 2005-12-15 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1071 | 48% | 2005-06-23 | Won |
| 1060 | 1152 | 37% | 2005-06-10 | Won |
| 1008 | 1096 | 38% | 2005-05-06 | Lost |
| 907 | 875 | 55% | 2004-05-13 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1060 | 54% | 2001-10-19 | Won |
| 1344 | 920 | 92% | 2001-07-24 | Won |
| 1141 | 1186 | 44% | 2001-06-16 | Lost |
| 1167 | 910 | 81% | 1999-06-15 | Tied |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 1998-12-18 | Won |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1998-05-16 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1118 | 42% | 1995-06-11 | Won |
| 984 | 952 | 55% | 1992-08-30 | Tied |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1066.9 vs 1031.3 has a 55.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).