Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (12 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 44
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 957 | 964 | 49% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 984 | 1018 | 45% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 1089 | 956 | 68% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 952 | 54% | 2021-11-16 | Lost |
| 1037 | 924 | 66% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 954 | 1110 | 29% | 2011-09-26 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1132 | 34% | 2011-06-25 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1233 | 30% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1039 | 1167 | 32% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
| 1012 | 982 | 54% | 2009-07-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 1080 | 45% | 2005-03-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1024.1 vs 1050.5 has a 46.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).