Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (14 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 948 | 1082 | 32% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 953 | 54% | 2021-11-16 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1209 | 27% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 938 | 1107 | 27% | 2011-09-26 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1132 | 34% | 2011-06-25 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1204 | 34% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 1060 | 1164 | 35% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1148 | 56% | 2009-08-15 | Won |
| 1012 | 982 | 54% | 2009-07-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 1133 | 38% | 2005-03-13 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1116 | 55% | 2004-04-23 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1038.3 vs 1094.9 has a 41.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).