Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-05-27 | Won |
| 1016 | 980 | 55% | 2022-01-01 | Won |
| 955 | 1016 | 41% | 2021-11-28 | Lost |
| 1027 | 954 | 60% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1027 | 954 | 60% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 954 | 1027 | 40% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 954 | 1027 | 40% | 2021-09-18 | Won |
| 968 | 1058 | 37% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1011 | 52% | 2016-03-02 | Lost |
| 847 | 853 | 49% | 2015-10-21 | Lost |
| 941 | 1002 | 41% | 2011-11-08 | Lost |
| 963 | 1154 | 25% | 2011-08-30 | Won |
| 1098 | 888 | 77% | 2011-04-03 | Won |
| 1037 | 938 | 64% | 2009-08-01 | Won |
| 1310 | 976 | 87% | 2008-03-15 | Won |
| 1023 | 1310 | 16% | 2006-02-17 | Lost |
| 879 | 994 | 34% | 2000-01-18 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1004.2 vs 1007.2 has a 49.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).