Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (19 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (Russian): 38
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-08-24 | D | Won |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2023-05-27 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1035 | 47% | 2022-01-01 | | Won |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2021-11-28 | | Lost |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2021-09-24 | | Won |
| 992 | 977 | 52% | 2021-09-24 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2021-09-18 | | Won |
| 977 | 992 | 48% | 2021-09-18 | | Won |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-05-12 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1018 | 51% | 2016-03-02 | | Lost |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2015-10-21 | | Lost |
| 848 | 1022 | 27% | 2011-11-08 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2011-08-30 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2011-04-03 | | Won |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | 2009-08-01 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1150 | 60% | 2008-03-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2006-02-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2004-05-10 | | Lost |
| 897 | 1028 | 32% | 2000-01-18 | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 993.1 vs 1024.7 has a 45.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).