Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (17 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 908 | 896 | 52% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2020-07-19 | Won |
| 1092 | 1132 | 44% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1097 | 60% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 858 | 1151 | 16% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 914 | 898 | 52% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
| 1193 | 971 | 78% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 985 | 851 | 68% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 974 | 986 | 48% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1168 | 1252 | 38% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1092 | 1132 | 44% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1020 | 1148 | 32% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 1020 | 1243 | 22% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2011-09-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 1089 | 46% | 2011-09-05 | Lost |
| 928 | 1008 | 39% | 2011-03-25 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1100 | 51% | 2002-11-23 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1026.8 vs 1065.8 has a 44.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).