Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2020-12-09 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2020-07-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2019-08-24 | | Lost |
| 1164 | 1000 | 72% | 2018-03-17 | | Won |
| 850 | 1123 | 17% | 2017-09-16 | | Lost |
| 919 | 898 | 53% | 2017-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 971 | 65% | 2017-02-13 | | Won |
| 1004 | 846 | 71% | 2016-11-05 | | Won |
| 972 | 981 | 49% | 2016-11-05 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1217 | 27% | 2016-03-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2011-11-06 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2011-10-29 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2011-10-13 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1192 | 32% | 2011-09-26 | | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2011-09-05 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2011-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2004-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2002-11-23 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1015.6 vs 1047.3 has a 45.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).