Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (17 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 901 | 54% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 964 | 957 | 51% | 2020-07-19 | Won |
| 984 | 1203 | 22% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1095 | 57% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 853 | 1157 | 15% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 914 | 896 | 53% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
| 1213 | 971 | 80% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1092 | 851 | 80% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 974 | 986 | 48% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1177 | 1225 | 43% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 984 | 1203 | 22% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1018 | 1146 | 32% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 1018 | 1242 | 22% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 975 | 1183 | 23% | 2011-09-26 | Won |
| 1137 | 1009 | 68% | 2011-09-05 | Lost |
| 929 | 1010 | 39% | 2011-03-25 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1040 | 68% | 2002-11-23 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1063.2 has a 44.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).