Silesian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 336 (56 on the archive and 280 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 167
Defender wins (Russian): 169
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1000 | 69% | 2025-03-02 | | Won |
| 1151 | 964 | 75% | 2025-02-12 | | Won |
| 984 | 1036 | 43% | 2024-06-29 | | Lost |
| 948 | 949 | 50% | 2024-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1230 | 22% | 2024-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2024-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-07-11 | | Won |
| 873 | 1000 | 32% | 2023-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1289 | 16% | 2022-09-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2022-09-04 | | Won |
| 949 | 1063 | 34% | 2022-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2020-07-10 | | Won |
| 1050 | 1218 | 28% | 2019-12-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2019-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1087 | 1059 | 54% | 2019-01-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2018-07-27 | | Lost |
| 1104 | 966 | 69% | 2018-07-27 | | Won |
| 953 | 1242 | 16% | 2018-05-19 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1119 | 31% | 2018-02-03 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1119 | 31% | 2017-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1127 | 63% | 2017-06-11 | | Won |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2017-03-25 | | Won |
| 970 | 1147 | 27% | 2016-09-13 | | Lost |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-11 | | Lost |
| 960 | 1101 | 31% | 2014-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2014-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 945 | 74% | 2013-10-13 | | Won |
| 829 | 1133 | 15% | 2012-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2012-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2010-11-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2010-10-29 | | Won |
| 1230 | 1000 | 79% | 2010-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1022 | 68% | 2010-03-23 | | Won |
| 904 | 1103 | 24% | 2010-01-10 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 995 | 70% | 2009-12-06 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1183 | 28% | 2008-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2008-10-10 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1435 | 16% | 2006-07-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2006-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2005-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2005-03-23 | | Won |
| 866 | 1074 | 23% | 2004-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2002-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1122 | 56% | 2002-09-05 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2002-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1343 | 13% | 2002-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1104 | 50% | 2001-10-13 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1004 | 59% | 2001-08-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2001-07-27 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-07-18 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2001-07-11 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2001-06-30 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2001-06-24 | | Won |
| 995 | 1150 | 29% | 2001-06-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2001-06-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1038.9 vs 1076.7 has a 44.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).