Silesian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 330 (50 on the archive and 280 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 164
Defender wins (Russian): 166
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1110 | 55% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 1189 | 973 | 78% | 2025-02-12 | Won |
| 940 | 1038 | 36% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 947 | 971 | 47% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1170 | 29% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1099 | 54% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2023-07-11 | Won |
| 901 | 984 | 38% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1252 | 30% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 953 | 1110 | 29% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 971 | 1054 | 38% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1014 | 56% | 2020-07-10 | Won |
| 1048 | 1220 | 27% | 2019-12-23 | Won |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2019-09-19 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1057 | 51% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 925 | 986 | 41% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 966 | 58% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 896 | 1111 | 22% | 2018-02-03 | Lost |
| 896 | 1111 | 22% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1121 | 75% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
| 975 | 1144 | 27% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 970 | 1151 | 26% | 2016-09-13 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-11 | Lost |
| 927 | 1096 | 27% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
| 1093 | 987 | 65% | 2014-10-04 | Lost |
| 1121 | 995 | 67% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
| 844 | 1060 | 22% | 2012-08-06 | Lost |
| 929 | 986 | 42% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 962 | 70% | 2010-11-26 | Won |
| 1056 | 1020 | 55% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1170 | 1092 | 61% | 2010-10-16 | Lost |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2010-03-23 | Won |
| 904 | 1086 | 26% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 1148 | 992 | 71% | 2009-12-06 | Won |
| 1011 | 1089 | 39% | 2008-11-05 | Lost |
| 988 | 1086 | 36% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 977 | 1413 | 8% | 2006-07-16 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-04-04 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1033 | 71% | 2005-03-23 | Won |
| 1105 | 1129 | 47% | 2002-09-05 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1122 | 54% | 2002-05-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1091 | 51% | 2001-10-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1133 | 41% | 2001-08-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2001-07-27 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2001-07-18 | Won |
| 1133 | 1068 | 59% | 2001-07-11 | Won |
| 1148 | 1025 | 67% | 2001-06-30 | Lost |
| 999 | 1202 | 24% | 2001-06-22 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 2001-06-02 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1080.8 has a 44.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).