Silesian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 335 (55 on the archive and 280 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 167
Defender wins (Russian): 168
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1110 | 55% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 1165 | 964 | 76% | 2025-02-12 | Won |
| 992 | 1037 | 44% | 2024-06-29 | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2024-03-09 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1190 | 28% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1040 | 62% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-07-11 | Won |
| 869 | 984 | 34% | 2023-02-15 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1221 | 33% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1000 | 1078 | 39% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1014 | 55% | 2020-07-10 | Won |
| 993 | 1218 | 21% | 2019-12-23 | Won |
| 976 | 1134 | 29% | 2019-09-19 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1019 | 55% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 962 | 954 | 51% | 2018-07-27 | Lost |
| 1040 | 966 | 60% | 2018-07-27 | Won |
| 953 | 1264 | 14% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 988 | 1134 | 30% | 2018-02-03 | Lost |
| 988 | 1134 | 30% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1123 | 65% | 2017-06-11 | Won |
| 947 | 1144 | 24% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2016-09-13 | Lost |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-11 | Lost |
| 996 | 1101 | 35% | 2014-11-08 | Lost |
| 1108 | 988 | 67% | 2014-10-04 | Lost |
| 1123 | 963 | 72% | 2013-10-13 | Won |
| 843 | 1134 | 16% | 2012-08-06 | Lost |
| 929 | 982 | 42% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1075 | 48% | 2010-11-26 | Won |
| 1054 | 1019 | 55% | 2010-10-29 | Won |
| 1190 | 1094 | 63% | 2010-10-16 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1061 | 65% | 2010-03-23 | Won |
| 904 | 1102 | 24% | 2010-01-10 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1012 | 68% | 2009-12-06 | Won |
| 1015 | 1073 | 42% | 2008-11-05 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1102 | 42% | 2008-10-10 | Won |
| 1021 | 1430 | 9% | 2006-07-16 | Won |
| 1135 | 1233 | 36% | 2006-04-04 | Lost |
| 1061 | 894 | 72% | 2005-04-10 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1020 | 70% | 2005-03-23 | Won |
| 866 | 1059 | 25% | 2004-06-25 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1122 | 55% | 2002-09-05 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1131 | 51% | 2002-05-19 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1344 | 13% | 2002-04-12 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1105 | 49% | 2001-10-13 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1023 | 56% | 2001-08-26 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2001-07-27 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-07-18 | Won |
| 1023 | 1110 | 38% | 2001-07-11 | Won |
| 1140 | 1008 | 68% | 2001-06-30 | Lost |
| 1344 | 1179 | 72% | 2001-06-24 | Won |
| 995 | 1175 | 26% | 2001-06-22 | Won |
| 993 | 1101 | 35% | 2001-06-02 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1046.1 vs 1088.1 has a 43.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).