In the Bag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (12 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1089 | 1077 | 52% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 874 | 1116 | 20% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 874 | 1116 | 20% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 1173 | 994 | 74% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 1126 | 994 | 68% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2013-07-12 | Won |
| 1150 | 978 | 73% | 2011-10-23 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2011-05-20 | Won |
| 1045 | 1046 | 50% | 2002-03-03 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1069 | 47% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-08-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1040.4 vs 1035.3 has a 50.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).