In the Bag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (12 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1111 | 1106 | 51% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 873 | 1213 | 12% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 873 | 1213 | 12% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1010 | 70% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1010 | 76% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 957 | 964 | 49% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2013-07-12 | Won |
| 1183 | 975 | 77% | 2011-10-23 | Won |
| 1039 | 958 | 61% | 2011-05-20 | Won |
| 1045 | 1044 | 50% | 2002-03-03 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1012 | 56% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-08-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1054.1 vs 1050.1 has a 50.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).