In the Bag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (12 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1137 | 53% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1048 | 66% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1048 | 71% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2013-07-12 | Won |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2011-10-23 | Won |
| 1060 | 1004 | 58% | 2011-05-20 | Won |
| 1040 | 1041 | 50% | 2002-03-03 | Lost |
| 968 | 1059 | 37% | 2001-10-01 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2001-08-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1065.7 has a 48.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).