3rd RTR in the Rain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107
Attacker wins (British): 53
Defender wins (German): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 894 | 909 | 48% | 2025-05-17 | Won |
| 936 | 901 | 55% | 2025-04-23 | Won |
| 925 | 925 | 50% | 2025-03-23 | Won |
| 1122 | 1110 | 52% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1189 | 971 | 78% | 2024-08-17 | Won |
| 892 | 892 | 50% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1289 | 18% | 2024-03-13 | Won |
| 1028 | 901 | 68% | 2023-11-29 | Won |
| 1105 | 991 | 66% | 2023-07-21 | Won |
| 951 | 969 | 47% | 2023-06-08 | Won |
| 1142 | 969 | 73% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 989 | 927 | 59% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1049 | 991 | 58% | 2023-02-28 | Won |
| 1095 | 1030 | 59% | 2023-02-28 | Won |
| 1095 | 932 | 72% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1010 | 56% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
| 975 | 976 | 50% | 2022-10-29 | Lost |
| 999 | 1008 | 49% | 2022-10-29 | Lost |
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2022-05-22 | Won |
| 966 | 994 | 46% | 2022-04-19 | Lost |
| 994 | 966 | 54% | 2022-04-13 | Won |
| 1024 | 1005 | 53% | 2021-04-04 | Lost |
| 989 | 1098 | 35% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1106 | 57% | 2020-09-21 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
| 909 | 997 | 38% | 2020-06-26 | Won |
| 1024 | 1164 | 31% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1021 | 50% | 2020-06-12 | Won |
| 942 | 1198 | 19% | 2020-04-28 | Lost |
| 914 | 964 | 43% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1012 | 49% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1150 | 45% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1072 | 993 | 61% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 909 | 1030 | 33% | 2020-04-02 | Lost |
| 1010 | 909 | 64% | 2020-02-22 | Won |
| 945 | 1289 | 12% | 2020-02-02 | Lost |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2019-05-31 | Won |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2019-05-31 | Won |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2018-05-17 | Won |
| 1126 | 926 | 76% | 2018-01-26 | Won |
| 982 | 1157 | 27% | 2017-11-23 | Lost |
| 1289 | 1132 | 71% | 2017-03-05 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1289 | 22% | 2016-06-14 | Lost |
| 1289 | 1132 | 71% | 2015-06-18 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1313 | 20% | 2015-05-09 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1157 | 53% | 2015-05-05 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
| 976 | 1032 | 42% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1132 | 1289 | 29% | 2014-11-06 | Won |
| 1058 | 1323 | 18% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1020 | 56% | 2014-07-13 | Lost |
| 918 | 1038 | 33% | 2014-05-20 | Lost |
| 918 | 1038 | 33% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1146 | 43% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1039 | 1011 | 54% | 2013-03-02 | Won |
| 1086 | 1064 | 53% | 2012-12-08 | Won |
| 1323 | 1074 | 81% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
| 982 | 936 | 57% | 2012-07-18 | Won |
| 1289 | 1132 | 71% | 2012-07-07 | Tied |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2012-04-29 | Won |
| 1106 | 1002 | 65% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1289 | 29% | 2011-09-11 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2011-09-11 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1026 | 53% | 2011-03-14 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1125 | 45% | 2011-01-05 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1170 | 42% | 2010-10-07 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1156 | 34% | 2010-06-12 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1077 | 42% | 2010-03-14 | Won |
| 1145 | 917 | 79% | 2010-03-14 | Lost |
| 889 | 1020 | 32% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
| 1072 | 1020 | 57% | 2010-03-11 | Won |
| 1020 | 851 | 73% | 2010-02-11 | Won |
| 1101 | 1151 | 43% | 2009-10-07 | Won |
| 1413 | 982 | 92% | 2009-09-13 | Won |
| 1313 | 1087 | 79% | 2009-09-13 | Lost |
| 992 | 1313 | 14% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
| 1179 | 1413 | 21% | 2009-05-17 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2009-05-10 | Won |
| 1096 | 1029 | 60% | 2009-04-01 | Won |
| 1117 | 1132 | 48% | 2009-03-07 | Won |
| 756 | 1010 | 19% | 2009-01-02 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1072 | 43% | 2008-10-24 | Won |
| 1061 | 1072 | 48% | 2008-09-13 | Won |
| 985 | 1100 | 34% | 2008-04-26 | Lost |
| 998 | 958 | 56% | 2007-07-12 | Won |
| 1016 | 1015 | 50% | 2007-05-16 | Won |
| 1273 | 1033 | 80% | 2007-01-02 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1413 | 14% | 2006-10-13 | Lost |
| 1164 | 986 | 74% | 2006-01-25 | Won |
| 1225 | 986 | 80% | 2006-01-25 | Won |
| 1105 | 1019 | 62% | 2005-01-22 | Lost |
| 1100 | 947 | 71% | 2004-12-11 | Won |
| 845 | 1062 | 22% | 2004-11-08 | Won |
| 1121 | 1055 | 59% | 2004-09-21 | Lost |
| 901 | 928 | 46% | 2004-02-04 | Won |
| 1019 | 926 | 63% | 2002-04-27 | Won |
| 712 | 1151 | 7% | 2002-03-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1126 | 31% | 2001-12-19 | Lost |
| 981 | 1107 | 33% | 2001-12-13 | Lost |
| 917 | 926 | 49% | 2001-10-27 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2001-09-19 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2001-09-18 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 2001-06-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1106 | 49% | 2000-08-26 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | Lost | |
| 1079 | 847 | 79% | Lost |
Attacking (53 wins) average ELOs: 1050.9 vs 1057.6 has a 49.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).