Tretten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 126 (31 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 62
Defender wins (British): 64
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2026-01-03 | | Won |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-03-24 | | Won |
| 1079 | 1027 | 57% | 2024-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1021 | 49% | 2023-08-05 | D | Won |
| 1025 | 1000 | 54% | 2023-05-20 | | Won |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2022-11-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2022-04-11 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-11-09 | | Won |
| 943 | 894 | 57% | 2020-12-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 976 | 53% | 2020-05-18 | | Won |
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2019-08-17 | | Won |
| 1217 | 1241 | 47% | 2019-07-05 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2019-04-20 | | Won |
| 1147 | 891 | 81% | 2013-08-21 | | Won |
| 1041 | 951 | 63% | 2013-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2012-11-11 | | Won |
| 1056 | 983 | 60% | 2011-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2011-08-27 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 893 | 83% | 2008-09-09 | | Won |
| 1098 | 968 | 68% | 2004-10-01 | | Won |
| 1120 | 907 | 77% | 2004-02-07 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1141 | 48% | 2002-10-10 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2002-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2002-03-19 | | Won |
| 1269 | 1100 | 73% | 2002-01-26 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2002-01-26 | | Won |
| 993 | 1098 | 35% | 2002-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 767 | 90% | 2001-12-13 | | Won |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2001-10-16 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1092 | 55% | 2001-07-08 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-07-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1082.8 vs 997.4 has a 62.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).