Panzer Graveyard
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 265 (57 on the archive and 208 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 145
Defender wins (British): 120
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2026-03-03 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1098 | 44% | 2024-11-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2024-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2024-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2023-03-03 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2023-03-03 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1000 | 68% | 2023-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1051 | 63% | 2023-03-02 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2023-02-23 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1017 | 51% | 2022-12-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2022-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 972 | 76% | 2020-07-07 | | Won |
| 699 | 1040 | 12% | 2020-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2020-06-25 | | Lost |
| 976 | 1226 | 19% | 2020-06-05 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2020-05-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1010 | 49% | 2020-05-16 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1120 | 54% | 2020-05-15 | | Lost |
| 920 | 1080 | 28% | 2020-05-15 | | Won |
| 1119 | 1000 | 66% | 2020-05-08 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-04-23 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1009 | 42% | 2020-03-21 | | Won |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-07-07 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2018-08-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-01-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-01-12 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1097 | 67% | 2017-11-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2017-06-09 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1017 | 51% | 2017-05-08 | | Won |
| 1077 | 973 | 65% | 2017-03-03 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 992 | 56% | 2016-08-01 | | Won |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2015-01-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2014-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 985 | 59% | 2013-04-30 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1141 | 45% | 2012-10-05 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2012-06-23 | | Won |
| 997 | 1074 | 39% | 2012-01-08 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 997 | 61% | 2011-12-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2011-10-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2011-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2010-09-27 | | Won |
| 967 | 1126 | 29% | 2010-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2010-03-18 | | Won |
| 1151 | 1022 | 68% | 2007-02-28 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2006-01-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1192 | 25% | 2004-04-22 | | Won |
| 1233 | 999 | 79% | 2004-02-25 | | Won |
| 1061 | 1192 | 32% | 2004-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2003-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1161 | 1074 | 62% | 2003-04-25 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2001-05-05 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1035 | 63% | 2001-02-17 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1035 | 63% | 2001-02-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1263 | 18% | 2000-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2000-05-06 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1054 | 57% | 2000-04-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (35 wins) average ELOs: 1047.6 vs 1053.5 has a 49.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).