Round Two
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1004 | 41% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-01-12 | Won |
| 1004 | 1031 | 46% | 2013-08-06 | Lost |
| 975 | 1057 | 38% | 2012-09-12 | Won |
| 949 | 988 | 44% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2006-10-01 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1148 | 45% | 2004-08-22 | Won |
| 1137 | 1202 | 41% | 2003-06-22 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2002-11-30 | Won |
| 1041 | 1040 | 50% | 2001-12-23 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1068 | 59% | 2000-12-17 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 2000-12-02 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1059 | 58% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1037.5 vs 1064.1 has a 46.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).