Kampfgruppe at Karachev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 196 (38 on the archive and 158 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 86
Defender wins (German): 109
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 1009 | 57% | 2026-01-21 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2024-05-30 | | Won |
| 1127 | 976 | 70% | 2023-04-09 | | Won |
| 1217 | 1000 | 78% | 2022-12-28 | | Won |
| 1021 | 1017 | 51% | 2022-08-21 | | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2021-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1047 | 1172 | 33% | 2020-09-21 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-01-27 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1075 | 38% | 2019-01-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2018-08-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2018-08-02 | | Tied |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2016-11-25 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2015-09-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2015-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2015-08-06 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2014-12-06 | | Won |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2012-03-30 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2012-03-17 | | Won |
| 985 | 951 | 55% | 2012-01-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2010-01-17 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2008-02-03 | | Won |
| 1014 | 1192 | 26% | 2006-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1115 | 1141 | 46% | 2005-04-09 | | Lost |
| 925 | 1074 | 30% | 2004-09-10 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2003-06-20 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2003-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2001-10-02 | | Won |
| 1263 | 976 | 84% | 2001-05-26 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2000-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2000-11-23 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1101 | 61% | 2000-10-29 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2000-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2000-10-01 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2000-05-29 | | Won |
| 1344 | 1000 | 88% | 2000-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2000-03-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1064.3 vs 1038.7 has a 53.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).