St. Barthélemy Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (4 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (American): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 1142 | 24% | 2013-08-10 | Lost |
| 952 | 929 | 53% | 2009-08-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 994 | 51% | 2004-03-25 | Won |
| 844 | 1124 | 17% | 2001-12-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 933.8 vs 1047.3 has a 34.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).