St. Barthélemy Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (7 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1144 | 24% | 2013-08-10 | Lost |
| 952 | 920 | 55% | 2009-08-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 998 | 50% | 2004-03-25 | Won |
| 833 | 1170 | 13% | 2001-12-26 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2001-09-24 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1041 | 48% | 1999-04-23 | Lost |
| 1343 | 968 | 90% | 1999-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1041.6 vs 1045.9 has a 49.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).