Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Japanese): 8
Defender wins (American): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1116 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1001 | 56% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 995 | 1154 | 29% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 995 | 1248 | 19% | 2021-11-17 | Won |
| 1132 | 996 | 69% | 2021-06-15 | Won |
| 1158 | 898 | 82% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 996 | 960 | 55% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1029 | 1259 | 21% | 2007-07-09 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1086 | 46% | 1998-12-29 | Won |
| 1152 | 1142 | 51% | 1997-08-30 | Won |
| 1142 | 1152 | 49% | 1997-08-14 | Won |
| 1117 | 847 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1078 vs 1071.6 has a 50.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).