Cattern's Position
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (20 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 36
Defender wins (Japanese): 50
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 932 | 1012 | 39% | 2021-10-31 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1048 | 45% | 2016-11-06 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1015 | 67% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 1006 | 956 | 57% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 1016 | 999 | 52% | 2008-04-26 | Won |
| 907 | 969 | 41% | 2007-11-09 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1166 | 48% | 2007-10-04 | Won |
| 1155 | 1235 | 39% | 2007-10-04 | Won |
| 1233 | 1187 | 57% | 2005-02-04 | Lost |
| 1166 | 799 | 89% | 2004-07-28 | Won |
| 1031 | 1109 | 39% | 2003-03-27 | Won |
| 1145 | 1221 | 39% | 2002-01-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 1168 | 27% | 2002-01-27 | Won |
| 957 | 916 | 56% | 2002-01-26 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1145 | 49% | 2002-01-19 | Won |
| 979 | 1166 | 25% | 2001-10-04 | Won |
| 978 | 1155 | 27% | 2000-09-19 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1042 | 64% | 1998-05-02 | Lost |
| 1053 | 894 | 71% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1057.2 vs 1060.1 has a 49.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).