The Red Wave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 180 (27 on the archive and 154 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 64
Defender wins (German (SS)): 116
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 949 | 70% | 2023-10-06 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2023-03-05 | | Lost |
| 995 | 1292 | 15% | 2022-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1292 | 995 | 85% | 2022-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2021-05-01 | | Won |
| 1068 | 962 | 65% | 2021-02-13 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-01-25 | | Lost |
| 940 | 949 | 49% | 2021-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2020-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1089 | 37% | 2019-05-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2017-06-19 | | Won |
| 1292 | 874 | 92% | 2016-12-30 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1020 | 50% | 2015-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1046 | 876 | 73% | 2015-06-14 | | Lost |
| 978 | 1183 | 24% | 2008-04-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1041 | 44% | 2004-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2003-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2000-11-29 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2000-06-25 | | Won |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 1999-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 1999-07-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1196 | 24% | 1999-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 1998-10-01 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-03-18 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-01-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1057.8 vs 1000.4 has a 58.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).