The Red Wave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German (SS)): 13
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 952 | 946 | 51% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 996 | 1250 | 19% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
| 1250 | 996 | 81% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
| 1095 | 971 | 67% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
| 1041 | 976 | 59% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 919 | 1074 | 29% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 955 | 999 | 44% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 997 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
| 887 | 998 | 35% | 2019-05-15 | Won |
| 868 | 847 | 53% | 2017-06-19 | Won |
| 1250 | 873 | 90% | 2016-12-30 | Won |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
| 1014 | 994 | 53% | 2015-10-28 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1074 | 41% | 2008-04-04 | Won |
| 1069 | 932 | 69% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1127 | 50% | 2000-06-25 | Won |
| 979 | 1106 | 32% | 1999-01-06 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1069 | 57% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 1998-03-18 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1040.4 vs 1016.5 has a 53.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).