The Long Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 4
Defender wins (Vichy French): 2
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 1
Defender wins (Vichy French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1023 | 50% | 2023-09-17 | Won |
| 869 | 1027 | 29% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 1132 | 1036 | 63% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
| 1036 | 1132 | 37% | 2013-03-01 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1014 | 55% | 1998-04-24 | Lost |
| 893 | 1022 | 32% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 996.6 vs 1032.9 has a 44.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).