The Long Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 4
Defender wins (Vichy French): 1
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (British (East African)): 1
Defender wins (Vichy French): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2023-09-17 | Won |
| 874 | 1007 | 32% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2017-01-07 | Won |
| 1191 | 999 | 75% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
| 999 | 1191 | 25% | 2013-03-01 | Lost |
| 893 | 1069 | 27% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 992.8 vs 1039.5 has a 43.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).