The Grand Canal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (14 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 45
Defender wins (Chinese): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Japanese): 2
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2023-11-19 | D | Won |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2023-10-26 | D | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2022-08-07 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-07-24 | | Won |
| 1315 | 1092 | 78% | 2015-07-04 | | Won |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2010-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2003-08-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 1999-07-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 1999-03-13 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 1998-04-01 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1120 | 50% | 1997-09-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1049.4 vs 1051.6 has a 49.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).