The Grand Canal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Japanese): 7
Defender wins (Chinese): 2
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Japanese): 2
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
| 1031 | 1002 | 54% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 955 | 999 | 44% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1298 | 1081 | 78% | 2015-07-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1149 | 26% | 2010-12-28 | Lost |
| 978 | 1018 | 44% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1037 | 1097 | 41% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
| 1119 | 1069 | 57% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Won |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1084.4 vs 1087.5 has a 49.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).