The Grand Canal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Japanese): 8
Defender wins (Chinese): 2
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Japanese): 2
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1098 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
| 1029 | 1013 | 52% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
| 949 | 951 | 50% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
| 1292 | 1091 | 76% | 2015-07-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1149 | 26% | 2010-12-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
| 1041 | 1097 | 42% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
| 1065 | 1065 | 50% | 1997-09-30 | Won |
| 1138 | 1028 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Won |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1077.3 vs 1064.2 has a 51.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).