Acts of Defiance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 350 (17 on the archive and 333 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 142
Defender wins (Russian): 208
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 959 | 1004 | 44% | 2009-08-09 | Lost |
| 882 | 892 | 49% | 2009-05-24 | Won |
| 1016 | 1015 | 50% | 2007-01-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 998 | 66% | 2005-12-27 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1100 | 43% | 2005-09-17 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1069 | 54% | 2005-04-30 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1189 | 30% | 2005-02-14 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1133 | 45% | 2002-12-06 | Lost |
| 1100 | 614 | 94% | 2001-08-25 | Won |
| 1148 | 1057 | 63% | 2001-04-20 | Lost |
| 845 | 1048 | 24% | 1998-09-05 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 1997-10-23 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 1997-07-04 | Won |
| 1148 | 1184 | 45% | 1996-05-11 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1091 | 52% | 1996-01-26 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1108 | 50% | 1995-07-09 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1052.3 vs 1034.9 has a 52.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).